Tips — Tuesday, 1 September 2026
Settled picks and final results for this date
All Tips
💬 These are two of the weakest attacks you will find, and that is the case for a low scoring game. Parma have had 3 or more goals in only 2 of their last 15 games. Their games average almost 2 goals in total, which is as quiet as it gets. Parma themselves score under a goal a game. They have not scored in either league game so far, losing 0-2 at Juventus and 0-1 to Cagliari. Cremonese are no better going forward. They also score under a goal a game and have managed just two goals across their last three. They have dropped down a division and lost their last two league games, 0-3 at home to Modena and 0-1 at Empoli. They are without Vardy and Collocolo, with Bondo suspended, so the attack is thin. The history matches all of it. The last 8 meetings averaged 2 goals a game, and one of them finished 0-0. A 1-0 home win is the likely result. Neither side is built to trade goals, so one goal should be enough to win this. The risk is that Cremonese games are not always quiet. Eight of their last 15 had 3 or more goals, and they let in close to 2 goals a game. A rotated Parma side could also be caught out at the back. We still want the low scoring game.
💬 These are two of the weakest attacks you will find, and that is the case for a low scoring game. Parma have had 3 or more goals in only 2 of their last 15 games. Their games average almost 2 goals in total, which is as quiet as it gets. Parma themselves score under a goal a game. They have not scored in either league game so far, losing 0-2 at Juventus and 0-1 to Cagliari. Cremonese are no better going forward. They also score under a goal a game and have managed just two goals across their last three. They have dropped down a division and lost their last two league games, 0-3 at home to Modena and 0-1 at Empoli. They are without Vardy and Collocolo, with Bondo suspended, so the attack is thin. The history matches all of it. The last 8 meetings averaged 2 goals a game, and one of them finished 0-0. A 1-0 home win is the likely result. Neither side is built to trade goals, so one goal should be enough to win this. The risk is that Cremonese games are not always quiet. Eight of their last 15 had 3 or more goals, and they let in close to 2 goals a game. A rotated Parma side could also be caught out at the back. We still want the low scoring game.
💬 A cup tie like this sounds like a goal fest, but Dortmund do not play them that way. This is a single knockout round. Once they are safely through, there is no reason to keep chasing more. HEBC are a fifth tier amateur side from Oberliga Hamburg. Nobody in their 28 man squad earns a salary, and they got here by winning the Hamburg Cup in May. They have won 6, tied 4 and lost 10 of their last 20 games. They have also lost at home this season to Vorwaerts-Wacker 04, HT16 and Niendorfer TSV. Dortmund are far stronger, but they are not a side that runs up huge scores. They score almost 2 goals a game, and they won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 15. The team news points the same way. Bensebaini is suspended, Emre Can and Schlotterbeck are out, and Alex Meyer comes in for Gregor Kobel in goal. That is a rotated side, playing three days after beating Hamburger SV. Dortmund winning by four, something like 0-4, looks about right. They make the tie safe early, then manage the rest of the night. The danger is a fast start that never lets up, with the changed players hunting goals of their own. These two have never met before, so there is no history to measure a margin against. We still expect a professional night rather than a pile up of goals.
💬 A cup tie like this sounds like a goal fest, but Dortmund do not play them that way. This is a single knockout round. Once they are safely through, there is no reason to keep chasing more. HEBC are a fifth tier amateur side from Oberliga Hamburg. Nobody in their 28 man squad earns a salary, and they got here by winning the Hamburg Cup in May. They have won 6, tied 4 and lost 10 of their last 20 games. They have also lost at home this season to Vorwaerts-Wacker 04, HT16 and Niendorfer TSV. Dortmund are far stronger, but they are not a side that runs up huge scores. They score almost 2 goals a game, and they won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 15. The team news points the same way. Bensebaini is suspended, Emre Can and Schlotterbeck are out, and Alex Meyer comes in for Gregor Kobel in goal. That is a rotated side, playing three days after beating Hamburger SV. Dortmund winning by four, something like 0-4, looks about right. They make the tie safe early, then manage the rest of the night. The danger is a fast start that never lets up, with the changed players hunting goals of their own. These two have never met before, so there is no history to measure a margin against. We still expect a professional night rather than a pile up of goals.
💬 Neither of these teams is scoring enough to worry us here. Lincoln have scored exactly one goal in each of their three Championship games since promotion. That is the clearest guide we have to how they cope at this level. Those games were a 1-3 at home to Portsmouth, a 1-2 at Middlesbrough and a 1-0 win at Bolton. Lincoln sit 17th on three points with a goal difference of minus two. The step up has taken some of the sting out of them. Blackburn are just as quiet. They score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game. Their games have averaged just over 2 goals in total, and they have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15. Both sides are short of bodies too. Blackburn are missing five players, including M. Baradji, M. Jorgensen and A. Kargbo. Lincoln have lost J. Collins and T. Darikwa to knee trouble. A 1-1 is the honest read, and two goals sits on the right side of this bet. Neither attack looks like the one to break out. The warning is Lincoln's fuller record, which has plenty of high scoring games in it. Most of that came a division below. The two old meetings between these clubs averaged 3 goals as well, so we are happy to back the quieter game.
💬 Neither of these teams is scoring enough to worry us here. Lincoln have scored exactly one goal in each of their three Championship games since promotion. That is the clearest guide we have to how they cope at this level. Those games were a 1-3 at home to Portsmouth, a 1-2 at Middlesbrough and a 1-0 win at Bolton. Lincoln sit 17th on three points with a goal difference of minus two. The step up has taken some of the sting out of them. Blackburn are just as quiet. They score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game. Their games have averaged just over 2 goals in total, and they have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15. Both sides are short of bodies too. Blackburn are missing five players, including M. Baradji, M. Jorgensen and A. Kargbo. Lincoln have lost J. Collins and T. Darikwa to knee trouble. A 1-1 is the honest read, and two goals sits on the right side of this bet. Neither attack looks like the one to break out. The warning is Lincoln's fuller record, which has plenty of high scoring games in it. Most of that came a division below. The two old meetings between these clubs averaged 3 goals as well, so we are happy to back the quieter game.
💬 Derby are in the bottom four of this division right now, and they travel badly. That is the main reason we want Portsmouth to win this game. Portsmouth have been in open games all month. All four of their competitive games in August produced at least three goals, including a 3-1 win at Lincoln. They score more than a goal a game, and they will get chances at Fratton Park. Derby are 21st on one point from three games with a goal difference of minus four. They were beaten 0-3 at home by Swansea last time out. They have won two and lost five of their last seven away games, with no ties in there at all. On those trips they let in almost 2 goals a game, and they score just over a goal a game overall. Portsmouth are missing seven players, including goalkeeper J. Bursik, K. Anderson and C. Ogilvie. That is why this reads as an untidy 2-1 rather than a comfortable home win. Portsmouth should do enough, but they will leave the door open at the other end. The catch is history. Six of the last eleven meetings between these two ended level, and we need Portsmouth to win this one. Their injury list is long as well. Derby's away form is still the bigger problem, so we are with the home side.
💬 Derby are in the bottom four of this division right now, and they travel badly. That is the main reason we want Portsmouth to win this game. Portsmouth have been in open games all month. All four of their competitive games in August produced at least three goals, including a 3-1 win at Lincoln. They score more than a goal a game, and they will get chances at Fratton Park. Derby are 21st on one point from three games with a goal difference of minus four. They were beaten 0-3 at home by Swansea last time out. They have won two and lost five of their last seven away games, with no ties in there at all. On those trips they let in almost 2 goals a game, and they score just over a goal a game overall. Portsmouth are missing seven players, including goalkeeper J. Bursik, K. Anderson and C. Ogilvie. That is why this reads as an untidy 2-1 rather than a comfortable home win. Portsmouth should do enough, but they will leave the door open at the other end. The catch is history. Six of the last eleven meetings between these two ended level, and we need Portsmouth to win this one. Their injury list is long as well. Derby's away form is still the bigger problem, so we are with the home side.
💬 Neither of these teams can find a goal at the moment, and that is the whole case for the quieter game. Sheffield United have tied all three of their Championship games so far. United sit 14th on three points with a goal difference of zero. They score more than a goal a game and let in about the same, so nothing about them says goal rush. They are also without T. Chong and R. One, the latter with a hamstring problem. Bolton have been quieter still away from home. They have scored under a goal a game across their last seven away trips. Their only Championship away game this season was a 0-0 at QPR. Put the two together and there is very little here. Their last seven meetings averaged just over 2 goals. Neither attack has made much more than a goal a game over their last three games, so the chances for a shootout are not there. A 1-0 looks the likeliest score, and it probably comes late. One goal decides plenty of games between sides this careful. The one worry is Bramall Lane. Sheffield United have let in 2 goals a game at home lately, which is worse than their away record. Bolton also score plenty in their own stadium, so they are not this quiet everywhere. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.
💬 Neither of these teams can find a goal at the moment, and that is the whole case for the quieter game. Sheffield United have tied all three of their Championship games so far. United sit 14th on three points with a goal difference of zero. They score more than a goal a game and let in about the same, so nothing about them says goal rush. They are also without T. Chong and R. One, the latter with a hamstring problem. Bolton have been quieter still away from home. They have scored under a goal a game across their last seven away trips. Their only Championship away game this season was a 0-0 at QPR. Put the two together and there is very little here. Their last seven meetings averaged just over 2 goals. Neither attack has made much more than a goal a game over their last three games, so the chances for a shootout are not there. A 1-0 looks the likeliest score, and it probably comes late. One goal decides plenty of games between sides this careful. The one worry is Bramall Lane. Sheffield United have let in 2 goals a game at home lately, which is worse than their away record. Bolton also score plenty in their own stadium, so they are not this quiet everywhere. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.
💬 These two rarely give each other anything. Across the last 17 meetings the record is 7 wins each and 3 ties, and those games averaged under 2 goals. This is a match up that stays tight, and we are backing Watford to keep it that way again. Swansea are the better side right now. They are third on seven points from three games with a goal difference of plus four, and they have let in one league goal all season. What they do not do is score heavily. They have scored just over a goal a game across their last seven home games. They are also missing centre back C. Burgess, along with G. Franco. Watford have not lost in the league yet. They are ninth on five points, and they have let in exactly one goal in each of their three league games. They are hard to break down even when they create little. Be clear about what this needs. A narrow 1-0 to Swansea is the most likely single score, and that is not enough for us. Watford have to take something from the game, and letting in one goal a game says they can. The worry is their travelling. Watford have not won any of their last seven away games and let in more than 2 goals a trip. Those numbers come from a bad run last season, so we still want Watford here.
💬 These two rarely give each other anything. Across the last 17 meetings the record is 7 wins each and 3 ties, and those games averaged under 2 goals. This is a match up that stays tight, and we are backing Watford to keep it that way again. Swansea are the better side right now. They are third on seven points from three games with a goal difference of plus four, and they have let in one league goal all season. What they do not do is score heavily. They have scored just over a goal a game across their last seven home games. They are also missing centre back C. Burgess, along with G. Franco. Watford have not lost in the league yet. They are ninth on five points, and they have let in exactly one goal in each of their three league games. They are hard to break down even when they create little. Be clear about what this needs. A narrow 1-0 to Swansea is the most likely single score, and that is not enough for us. Watford have to take something from the game, and letting in one goal a game says they can. The worry is their travelling. Watford have not won any of their last seven away games and let in more than 2 goals a trip. Those numbers come from a bad run last season, so we still want Watford here.
💬 Both of these teams turn up in busy games, and that is the strongest reason we want goals here. West Ham have been a different side at the London Stadium. They score 2 goals a game across nine home games there and let in just over one. Their games average 3 goals in total, and 11 of their last 16 had 3 or more. Wolves are no different. Their games average just over 3 goals, and 10 of their last 15 reached 3 or more. Wolves also arrive with a patched up back line. Trippier, Mosquera, Bellegarde and Said are all out, and Wolves have let in goals in all three of their league games this season. West Ham have their own problems. Soucek is out with an ankle injury, and Mavropanos and Robinson are doubtful. The middle of their team looks thin, so both sides should get chances. A 2-1 home win is the most likely score, and that is enough for this one. The honest worry is the history between them. The last 20 meetings averaged under 3 goals, and only half of them had 3 or more. West Ham have also tied 6 of their last 16, and a quiet 1-1 would leave us short. We still want the goals here.
💬 Both of these teams turn up in busy games, and that is the strongest reason we want goals here. West Ham have been a different side at the London Stadium. They score 2 goals a game across nine home games there and let in just over one. Their games average 3 goals in total, and 11 of their last 16 had 3 or more. Wolves are no different. Their games average just over 3 goals, and 10 of their last 15 reached 3 or more. Wolves also arrive with a patched up back line. Trippier, Mosquera, Bellegarde and Said are all out, and Wolves have let in goals in all three of their league games this season. West Ham have their own problems. Soucek is out with an ankle injury, and Mavropanos and Robinson are doubtful. The middle of their team looks thin, so both sides should get chances. A 2-1 home win is the most likely score, and that is enough for this one. The honest worry is the history between them. The last 20 meetings averaged under 3 goals, and only half of them had 3 or more. West Ham have also tied 6 of their last 16, and a quiet 1-1 would leave us short. We still want the goals here.
Championship
Birminghamvs
Southampton💬 Southampton are simply the better team here, and they have the record to show it. They have won 10 of their last 16 games and score just over 2 goals a game. On the road they have won 4 of 7 trips, scoring 2 a game and letting in only one. They beat Millwall 5-1 last time out, so the attack is working. Birmingham are the opposite kind of side. They score just over a goal a game and their games average just over 2 goals in total. They have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15, so they rarely take a game away from anyone. Birmingham are also short in midfield. Gardner-Hickman and Leonard are out and Buchanan is doubtful, which is a lot to lose in the middle. The recent history backs the away side too. Birmingham have not beaten Southampton in the last 6 meetings, losing four of them. We expect Birmingham to stay in the game and find one goal, with Southampton scoring twice. A 1-2 away win is the likely story. The risk is real though. Birmingham are hard to beat at home, and Southampton miss Jander with centre back Harwood-Bellis doubtful. One loose night at the back could flip this. We are still with Southampton.
💬 Southampton are simply the better team here, and they have the record to show it. They have won 10 of their last 16 games and score just over 2 goals a game. On the road they have won 4 of 7 trips, scoring 2 a game and letting in only one. They beat Millwall 5-1 last time out, so the attack is working. Birmingham are the opposite kind of side. They score just over a goal a game and their games average just over 2 goals in total. They have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15, so they rarely take a game away from anyone. Birmingham are also short in midfield. Gardner-Hickman and Leonard are out and Buchanan is doubtful, which is a lot to lose in the middle. The recent history backs the away side too. Birmingham have not beaten Southampton in the last 6 meetings, losing four of them. We expect Birmingham to stay in the game and find one goal, with Southampton scoring twice. A 1-2 away win is the likely story. The risk is real though. Birmingham are hard to beat at home, and Southampton miss Jander with centre back Harwood-Bellis doubtful. One loose night at the back could flip this. We are still with Southampton.
💬 Torino have never lost to Monza, and that record is the best reason to back them again. The last 7 meetings have gone 4 wins and 3 ties for Torino. They are also a much better team at their own ground. Torino have won 5 of their 8 home games at the Olimpico, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in just over one. On the road they have won only once in 8. Monza arrive short of bodies. Captain Pessina is out along with Ciurria, Colombo and Toure, and Varela has an adductor problem. That is five players missing from a team that let in 7 goals in its two league games. Torino have gaps of their own, with Pellegri out and Casadei and Biraghi doubtful. This is a single knockout game, so both teams will change players and neither will be at full speed. Torino have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three games, and one goal may well be all they need here. A 1-0 home win is the likely picture, and a narrow win does the job. The caution is that Monza are in decent shape. They have won 7 of their last 16 and let in just over a goal a game, so a tie is a real danger. We are still taking Torino to win it.
💬 Torino have never lost to Monza, and that record is the best reason to back them again. The last 7 meetings have gone 4 wins and 3 ties for Torino. They are also a much better team at their own ground. Torino have won 5 of their 8 home games at the Olimpico, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in just over one. On the road they have won only once in 8. Monza arrive short of bodies. Captain Pessina is out along with Ciurria, Colombo and Toure, and Varela has an adductor problem. That is five players missing from a team that let in 7 goals in its two league games. Torino have gaps of their own, with Pellegri out and Casadei and Biraghi doubtful. This is a single knockout game, so both teams will change players and neither will be at full speed. Torino have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three games, and one goal may well be all they need here. A 1-0 home win is the likely picture, and a narrow win does the job. The caution is that Monza are in decent shape. They have won 7 of their last 16 and let in just over a goal a game, so a tie is a real danger. We are still taking Torino to win it.
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