HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund — Tips & Analysis

Under 8.75: A cup tie like this sounds like a goal fest, but Dortmund do not play them that way. This is a single knockout round. Once they are safely through, there is no reason to keep chasing more. HEBC are a fifth tier amateur side from Oberliga Hamburg. Nobody in their 28 man squad earns a salary, and they got here by winning the Hamburg Cup in May. They have won 6, tied 4 and lost 10 of their last 20 games. They have also lost at home this season to Vorwaerts-Wacker 04, HT16 and Niendorfer TSV. Dortmund are far stronger, but they are not a side that runs up huge scores. They score almost 2 goals a game, and they won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 15. The team news points the same way. Bensebaini is suspended, Emre Can and Schlotterbeck are out, and Alex Meyer comes in for Gregor Kobel in goal. That is a rotated side, playing three days after beating Hamburger SV. Dortmund winning by four, something like 0-4, looks about right. They make the tie safe early, then manage the rest of the night. The danger is a fast start that never lets up, with the changed players hunting goals of their own. These two have never met before, so there is no history to measure a margin against. We still expect a professional night rather than a pile up of goals.