Torino vs Monza — Tips & Analysis

Torino -0.5: Torino have never lost to Monza, and that record is the best reason to back them again. The last 7 meetings have gone 4 wins and 3 ties for Torino. They are also a much better team at their own ground. Torino have won 5 of their 8 home games at the Olimpico, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in just over one. On the road they have won only once in 8. Monza arrive short of bodies. Captain Pessina is out along with Ciurria, Colombo and Toure, and Varela has an adductor problem. That is five players missing from a team that let in 7 goals in its two league games. Torino have gaps of their own, with Pellegri out and Casadei and Biraghi doubtful. This is a single knockout game, so both teams will change players and neither will be at full speed. Torino have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three games, and one goal may well be all they need here. A 1-0 home win is the likely picture, and a narrow win does the job. The caution is that Monza are in decent shape. They have won 7 of their last 16 and let in just over a goal a game, so a tie is a real danger. We are still taking Torino to win it.