Swansea vs Watford — Tips & Analysis

Watford +0.75: These two rarely give each other anything. Across the last 17 meetings the record is 7 wins each and 3 ties, and those games averaged under 2 goals. This is a match up that stays tight, and we are backing Watford to keep it that way again. Swansea are the better side right now. They are third on seven points from three games with a goal difference of plus four, and they have let in one league goal all season. What they do not do is score heavily. They have scored just over a goal a game across their last seven home games. They are also missing centre back C. Burgess, along with G. Franco. Watford have not lost in the league yet. They are ninth on five points, and they have let in exactly one goal in each of their three league games. They are hard to break down even when they create little. Be clear about what this needs. A narrow 1-0 to Swansea is the most likely single score, and that is not enough for us. Watford have to take something from the game, and letting in one goal a game says they can. The worry is their travelling. Watford have not won any of their last seven away games and let in more than 2 goals a trip. Those numbers come from a bad run last season, so we still want Watford here.