Portsmouth vs Derby — Tips & Analysis

Portsmouth -0.25: Derby are in the bottom four of this division right now, and they travel badly. That is the main reason we want Portsmouth to win this game. Portsmouth have been in open games all month. All four of their competitive games in August produced at least three goals, including a 3-1 win at Lincoln. They score more than a goal a game, and they will get chances at Fratton Park. Derby are 21st on one point from three games with a goal difference of minus four. They were beaten 0-3 at home by Swansea last time out. They have won two and lost five of their last seven away games, with no ties in there at all. On those trips they let in almost 2 goals a game, and they score just over a goal a game overall. Portsmouth are missing seven players, including goalkeeper J. Bursik, K. Anderson and C. Ogilvie. That is why this reads as an untidy 2-1 rather than a comfortable home win. Portsmouth should do enough, but they will leave the door open at the other end. The catch is history. Six of the last eleven meetings between these two ended level, and we need Portsmouth to win this one. Their injury list is long as well. Derby's away form is still the bigger problem, so we are with the home side.