Toulouse vs Estac Troyes — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Neither of these teams can find a goal at the moment, and that is the simple case for the quieter game. Toulouse have barely managed a goal a game at their own ground, which is worse than their numbers on the road. They have tied 5 of their last 16 games and won by 2 or more goals just once in that run. This is not a side that blows games open. Troyes are in worse shape. They have lost five league games in a row and sit 17th with 4 points from 7 games and a goal difference of minus 11. Their last five games were all losses. They score just over a goal a game and create almost nothing right now. Away from home they let in more than a goal a game, so they are not falling apart either. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Troyes, 7 wins and 4 ties, and those games have stayed tight. A 1-0 home win is the most likely result, and that suits us well. Be careful though. 12 of Toulouse's last 16 games had 3 or more goals, so their own recent run argues the other way. If Troyes chase a goal late, this can open up fast. We still expect a low-scoring afternoon.