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Sunderland vs Leeds — Tips & Analysis

Premier League
Sunderland
Sunderland
LWLWD
14th in EPL
0-0
Sun 25 Oct, 23:30 ICT
Leeds
Leeds
DWLDD
5th in EPL
📍 Stadium of Light
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under✅ Won
Under 2.5@1.75
Confidence56%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Under 2.5: The history of this game points straight at a quiet afternoon. The last 10 meetings between Sunderland and Leeds averaged under 2 goals, and 4 of them were ties. Sunderland are the main reason for that. They score less than a goal a game at the Stadium of Light and let in less than a goal a game there too. Only 6 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals in them. They are bottom of the table with 4 points from 7 games, and their last five league games read four losses and a tie. They are also without Ballard and the suspended Danso. A team in that spot defends first. Leeds are the steadier side, but they have been ordinary on the road, with 4 wins, 2 ties and 5 losses in 11 away games. Only 7 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals. Both teams are set up to keep this tight, and a 1-1 is the honest read. That is enough for us. The worry is a real one. Sunderland have had only 3 days off after their trip to Poland, and they have been giving up more chances lately than their results show. Leeds have also let in almost 2 goals a game away from home. We still want the low-scoring game here.
Recent Form
Sunderland4W 1D 3L
L3-5vs Manchester City (A)20 Sept 26Premier League
W1-0vs AZ Alkmaar (H)16 Sept 26UEFA Europa League
L0-2vs Arsenal (H)12 Sept 26Premier League
W1-0vs Hull City (H)8 Sept 26League Cup
D1-1vs Brentford (A)5 Sept 26Premier League
W1-0vs Fulham (H)30 Aug 26Premier League
L1-2vs Ipswich (A)22 Aug 26Premier League
W2-1vs Rennes (H)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Leeds4W 3D 1L
D0-0vs Crystal Palace (H)20 Sept 26Premier League
W4-1vs Newcastle (H)14 Sept 26Premier League
L3-6vs Chelsea (A)9 Sept 26League Cup
D1-1vs Brighton (A)5 Sept 26Premier League
D1-1vs Brentford (H)30 Aug 26Premier League
W2-0vs Nottingham Forest (A)25 Aug 26League Cup
W1-0vs Nottingham Forest (A)22 Aug 26Premier League
W4-0vs FC Augsburg (H)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Form Stats
SunderlandSunderland
LeedsLeeds
1.25
Avg scored
2.00
1.38
Avg conceded
1.13
38%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Both score
50%
38%
Clean sheet
50%
13%
Failed to score
13%
Head-to-Head
Sunderland
0 - 1
Leeds
30 Jul 2026 · Premier League - Summer Series
Leeds
0 - 1
Sunderland
3 Mar 2026 · Premier League
Sunderland
1 - 1
Leeds
28 Dec 2025 · Premier League
Leeds
2 - 1
Sunderland
17 Feb 2025 · Championship
Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds
4 Oct 2024 · Championship
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Sunderland — scores
17%0-15'
0%16-30'
33%31-45'
17%46-60'
17%61-75'
17%76-90'
Sunderland — concedes
10%0-15'
20%16-30'
10%31-45'
30%46-60'
0%61-75'
30%76-90'
Leeds — scores
17%0-15'
0%16-30'
33%31-45'
17%46-60'
0%61-75'
33%76-90'
Leeds — concedes
0%0-15'
0%16-30'
50%31-45'
0%46-60'
25%61-75'
25%76-90'
Team News
Sunderland5 out
D. BallardMuscle Injury
K. DansoRed Card
R. MundleKnee Injury
W. IsidorInjury
T. MeunierMuscle Injury
Leeds5 out
M. JosephKnee Injury
J. RodonMuscle Injury
D. Calvert-LewinFoot Injury
N. OkaforGroin Injury
A. StachGroin Injury
Premier League Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1Manchester City500+815WWWWW
2Arsenal401+412LWWWW
3Brighton311+1110WWDLW
4Brentford230+69WDDDW
5Leeds230+49DWDDW
6Liverpool230+39WDWDD
7Everton230+39WDDDW
8Hull City221+28LDDWW
9Newcastle22108WLDWD
10Chelsea212-27LDLWW
11Ipswich203-46LWLLW
12Manchester United12205DLDWL
13Nottingham Forest122-15LWDDL
14Sunderland113-44LLDWL
15Crystal Palace113-54DLWLL
16Aston Villa113-54WLDLL
17Bournemouth032-23LDDDL
18Coventry104-93WLLLL
19Fulham023-32DDLLL
20Tottenham023-62LDDLL
Team Sheet
Leeds3-4-2-1 · 👔 D. Farke
1Trafford
5Muharemović
15Bijol
24Justin
3Gudmundsson
22Tanaka
4Ampadu
2Bogle
11Aaronson
10Wilson
9Calvert-Lewin
22Roefs
17Reinildo
13O'Nien
20Mukiele
32Hume
27Sadiki
34Xhaka
28Fée
11Rigg
10Angulo
9Brobbey
Sunderland4-2-3-1 · 👔 R. Le Bris
How the Match Went
SunderlandSunderland
LeedsLeeds
45%
Possession
55%
15
Shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
4
Corners
5
10
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
2
3
Offsides
0