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Marseille vs Le Havre — Tips & Analysis

Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
WLLLL
17th in LIG
4-3
Sun 25 Oct, 23:15 ICT
Le Havre
Le Havre
WLDLD
18th in LIG
📍 Orange Vélodrome
⭐ Our Pick
Asian Handicap↩️ Push
Marseille -1@1.88
Confidence50%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Marseille -1: Le Havre arrive bottom of Ligue 1 with a back line held together by whoever is fit, and that is the case for backing Marseille to win well. Six Le Havre players are listed out. Marseille are missing just one. Marseille are a different team at the Velodrome. They score 2 goals a game at home and let in just over one. Le Havre have 2 points from 7 games with a goal difference of minus 6, and their last five results read four losses and a tie. They score just over a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game. Marseille have also won all 7 of their last meetings with Le Havre, and those games averaged just over 4 goals. Put it together and a controlled 2-0 home win is the honest read. A two-goal win does the job for us. There are two worries. Marseille had only 3 days off after losing at Sturm Graz, and tired legs can turn a comfortable night into a nervy one. Le Havre have also been better away from home than at their own ground. They have lost by 2 or more goals only once in their last 12 games. That makes this closer than the table suggests, but we still want Marseille to win this clearly.
Recent Form
Marseille2W 0D 6L
W2-0vs Estac Troyes (A)11 Oct 26Ligue 1
L1-2vs Paris Saint Germain (H)20 Sept 26Ligue 1
L1-4vs Beşiktaş (A)17 Sept 26UEFA Europa League
L0-1vs Rennes (A)11 Sept 26Ligue 1
L2-3vs Paris FC (H)6 Sept 26Ligue 1
L0-2vs Monaco (A)30 Aug 26Ligue 1
W4-0vs Strasbourg (H)21 Aug 26Ligue 1
L1-2vs Atletico Madrid (H)14 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Le Havre2W 2D 4L
W6-1vs Boulogne (H)2 Oct 26Friendlies Clubs
L2-3vs Toulouse (A)19 Sept 26Ligue 1
D0-0vs Angers (H)12 Sept 26Ligue 1
L1-2vs Stade Brestois 29 (H)5 Sept 26Ligue 1
D1-1vs Lyon (A)29 Aug 26Ligue 1
L0-1vs Monaco (H)23 Aug 26Ligue 1
W1-0vs Le Mans (A)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L2-3vs Oviedo (A)8 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Form Stats
MarseilleMarseille
Le HavreLe Havre
1.38
Avg scored
1.63
1.75
Avg conceded
1.38
63%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Both score
63%
25%
Clean sheet
25%
25%
Failed to score
25%
Head-to-Head
Le Havre
0 - 1
Marseille
10 May 2026 · Ligue 1
Marseille
6 - 2
Le Havre
18 Oct 2025 · Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 - 3
Marseille
10 May 2025 · Ligue 1
Marseille
5 - 1
Le Havre
5 Jan 2025 · Ligue 1
Le Havre
1 - 2
Marseille
19 May 2024 · Ligue 1
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Marseille — scores
7%0-15'
0%16-30'
14%31-45'
29%46-60'
14%61-75'
36%76-90'
Marseille — concedes
30%0-15'
10%16-30'
0%31-45'
20%46-60'
30%61-75'
10%76-90'
Le Havre — scores
0%0-15'
0%16-30'
0%31-45'
0%46-60'
50%61-75'
50%76-90'
Le Havre — concedes
29%0-15'
0%16-30'
0%31-45'
43%46-60'
0%61-75'
29%76-90'
Team News
Marseille1 out
D. CorneliusHip Injury
Le Havre6 out
E. JelertThigh Injury
F. MambimbiAchilles Tendon Injury
L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles Tendon Injury
T. PembeleMuscle Injury
A. ToureKnee Injury
S. ZagadouKnee Injury
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1Monaco410+513WDWWW
2Lyon321+711LWDWD
3Paris FC320+511WDWWD
4Lille311+410LWWDW
5Rennes311-110LWWWD
6Paris Saint Germain221+18WWLDD
7Lens213+17WLDLL
8Angers212+17WDLWL
9Strasbourg21207LDWWL
10Le Mans13106WDDLD
11Auxerre203-56WWLLL
12Stade Brestois 29122-15LLWDD
13Lorient122-15LDWLD
14Toulouse122-25WDLDL
15Nice122-35WLDLD
16Estac Troyes113-74LLLWD
17Marseille104-13LLLLW
18Le Havre023-32LDLDL
Match Events
CJ Egan-Rileyassist Emerson Palmieri⚽
5'
Timothy Weah⚽
33'
Igor Paixãoassist Amine Gouiri⚽
50'
Himad Abdelli⚽
55'
⚽Josh Majapenalty
77'
⚽Lamine N'Diaye
86'
⚽Josh Majaassist Kaito Mizuta
89'