Liverpool vs Brighton — Tips & Analysis

Brighton +0.5: Brighton are the better team right now, and that is why we want them here. They have won their last four league games, they sit third, and they have won 9 of their last 16. They also let in under a goal a game. Liverpool are a different story at home. They have let in more than a goal a game across their eleven home games. This month alone they let in three at home to Manchester City and three more to Villarreal. Their attack is short too, with Szoboszlai and Ekitike out along with full-backs Bradley and Frimpong. Brighton score more than 2 goals a game. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 16, so they can hurt a back line like this. These two also tend to produce open games. The last 20 meetings averaged just over 3 goals. Put that together and a 2-2 is the likeliest finish, which lands on the right side for us. There are real reasons for caution. Brighton played in Jablonec on Thursday and have only 3 days' rest to Liverpool's 5, and Mitoma, Minteh and Ferguson are all out of their front line. Brighton's away record is also just 3 wins, 2 ties and 3 losses. We still think they leave Anfield with something.