Celta Vigo vs Real Betis — Tips & Analysis

Celta Vigo +0.5: Celta rarely lose badly, and that is the whole case here. They have lost by 2 or more goals just once in their last 15 games. Their games average just over 2 goals in total, and only 6 of those 15 had 3 or more, so Balaidos is a grind. Celta score just over a goal a game and let in a goal a game, which is exactly the shape we want. Betis are the better side on paper. They sit 4th on 19 points from 9 games and they have won 9 of their last 12. The catch is how they win. Their goal difference is only +2, and they have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 12. The head to head says the same thing. Celta have tied seven of the last 20 meetings, and the last two both finished 1-1. A 1-1 tie looks like the likeliest finish again, and a point does the job for us. The risks are real and worth naming. Celta have five players out, including Borja Iglesias and Carl Starfelt, and they had only 3 days off after their trip to Celtic. Betis put five past Osasuna at home, so the ceiling is there when they click. We still expect Celta to stay in this one.