Auxerre vs Le Mans — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Auxerre's games have been full of goals, and that is the main reason we want the busier game here. 10 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals in them. Auxerre score almost 2 goals a game and let in 2 goals a game, which is not the profile of a quiet side. They are also down six players, and the back line has been patched together. Le Mans are the tighter team and they tie a lot of games. They have tied 6 of their last 12 and score just over a goal a game. The thing is, Le Mans have stopped keeping it tight. Their last two results were a 0-3 home loss to Toulouse and a 1-3 loss at Paris Saint Germain. They are giving up far more chances than they create right now. That points to Auxerre leading, Le Mans getting one back through an opening, and the hosts holding on. A 2-1 home win is the most likely result, and that is enough for this bet. The warning is a real one though. Only 6 of Le Mans' last 12 games had 3 or more goals, so the quiet version of them is always possible. A 1-1 or a 1-0 would beat us. We still think Auxerre's leaky defending hands us the goals we need.