Athletic Club vs Getafe — Tips & Analysis

Getafe +1: Athletic Club are not scoring, and that is the whole case for taking Getafe with a head start. Athletic score a goal a game and have won just 2 of their last 10. They have tied 4 of their last 5, so goals are hard to come by at San Mames. They are short of attackers too. Sancet and Guruzeta are out and Laporte is suspended after a red card. Getafe are no better going forward. They have won 4, tied 4 and lost 6 of their last 14 and they score less than a goal a game. Their job is to stay in the game, not win it. The history says they can. The last 20 meetings produced 11 ties and averaged just over 2 goals a game. Getafe have also lost by 2 or more in only 3 of their last 14, so heavy defeats are rare. Athletic have been wasteful in front of goal at home, so even their better days end with one goal. Our read is a 1-0 Athletic win. That sits right on the limit of this pick, so we want Getafe to take something from the game. A two-goal home win is what beats it. The worry is how Getafe travel. They have no win in six away games and barely score on the road. They also come in on 3 days of rest after letting in five at home to Lugano. We still think they keep this close enough.