Angers vs Lorient — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Lorient turn games into slow, controlled affairs, and that is the case for a low total here. They have won their last two by the same 1-0, against Monaco and Paris FC. Three of their last five games produced just one goal in total. They let in just over a goal a game, and only 6 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. Angers do not have the attack to change that. They score just 1 goal a game, and across their last eight home games it drops under a goal a game. They have won only 2 of their last 15 games, and their finishing has not matched the chances they make. The history fits as well. The 18 meetings between these two averaged just over 2 goals, and only a third of them had 3 or more. Lorient have let in a goal a game on their travels, so they do not need an open game to win. A 0-1 Lorient win is the likeliest finish, and one goal keeps this exactly where we want it. The risk here is loud. Angers have let in five twice in their last three league games, 2-5 to Marseille and 1-5 at Brest, so they can come apart. Those two came against stronger attacks than this one, and Lorient are built to keep games small. We want the quiet game.