Wolves vs Watford — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Watford have been dreadful on the road, and they bring nothing going forward. They did win 2-0 last time out, but they have taken one point from their last seven away games, losing six of them. Watford have scored once in their last four trips, losing 0-1 at Bristol City, 0-1 at West Brom and 0-2 at Swansea. Across all games they score less than a goal a game. Wolves handle games like this without any fuss. They have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three at Molineux. Those went 1-1 with Portsmouth, 1-3 to Bolton and 1-0 over West Brom. They are also without three forwards, with R. Jimenez, R. Gomes and B. Traore all out, so the home attack is blunt too. The last 11 meetings between these two averaged just under 3 goals in total. A 1-0 Wolves win is the most likely score, and a controlled, quiet afternoon is what this shapes up as. The warning is that Watford's games have often been busy for the wrong reason. Nine of their last 16 had three or more goals, and they have been beaten 1-5 at Cardiff and 0-4 at home by Burnley. If this turns into another rout, the goals come quickly. We still think Wolves do just enough, and do it quietly.