RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.5: Goals follow both of these teams around, and that is why we want the busier game. 12 of Leipzig's last 14 games had 3 or more goals. 10 of Elversberg's last 12 did the same. Leipzig have won all six at their own ground and scored more than 3 goals a game doing it. How they arrive matters too. They played at Real Madrid three days ago and lost 1-4, two defenders are suspended, and changes are coming. Elversberg are no soft touch. They score more than 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game, so they will have a go at this. Both teams have been giving up chances freely in recent weeks. A tired home back line against a side that attacks is how games get stretched. Here is the honest part. A 2-1 Leipzig win is the single most likely finish, and that would leave us short. We need the open, end to end game both teams keep producing, not a controlled afternoon. Elversberg are also much tamer on the road, scoring and letting in under 2 goals a game away from home. If Leipzig take an early lead and run the clock down, this gets quiet fast. We still want goals between two teams who rarely keep them out.