QPR vs Swansea — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two rarely put on a show, and that is the heart of this one. Fewer than half of their last 20 meetings produced 3 or more goals, and the last five finished 1-2, 1-0, 1-2, 0-3 and 1-0. QPR are the bigger problem for the goals. They have tied three of their last five and six of their last 14. They have also lost Ilias Chair for three to four weeks with a muscle injury. Lamptey and Madsen are out as well, and Mbengue is gone for the season. That leaves a side scoring more than a goal a game at home without its main creator. Swansea are top of the league and they do not let games get loose. They have won 5 of their last 7 away trips and let in a goal a trip. Across 15 games they have let in under a goal a game, one of the meanest defensive records on the card today. A 0-1 Swansea win looks like the most likely finish, and a game like that is exactly what we want. Two warnings come with it. Swansea's clean sheets have outrun their defending, because they have given up more than a goal's worth of chances a game over their last five. QPR also put four past Derby at Loftus Road ten days ago, so there are goals in them. We still expect a tight, low scoring game.