FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — Tips & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 -0.5: Bremen arrive with most of a midfield missing, and that is the main reason we are with Mainz. Musah, N'Diaye, Alvero and Agu are all unavailable, so the visitors have to patch a side together. Mainz come in off a 1-0 win at Schalke and have won 6 of their last 11 games. They sit 5th on 10 points, three places and one point ahead of Bremen after six matches. Their recent run reads win, loss, win, loss, win, so they blow hot and cold, but they keep finding goals. Bremen are hard to beat rather than dangerous. They score just over a goal a game on their travels and have tied 4 of their last 13 games. The shape of this one looks clear. Mainz keep pushing at a patched up visiting team and find the room late on. A 2-1 home win is the most likely finish, and that is enough for our pick. The worry is real though. Mainz have no win in their last five games at their own ground, taking one tie and four defeats. They have also let in almost 3 goals a game through that run. If that version of Mainz turns up, this Bremen side have enough in them to take a point home. We still want Mainz to edge it.