Como vs Sassuolo — Tips & Analysis

Sassuolo +1.5: Sassuolo lose plenty of games, but they rarely get taken apart. They have lost by 2 or more goals just once in their last 14. That is the heart of this one. Como are the better side and they know it. They have won 11 of their last 17, score just over 2 goals a game and let in a goal a game. At home they have 5 wins and 2 ties from their last seven. There is a catch, though. Como play this three days after a 4-1 Champions League win over Manchester United, and their attack is thinner than their scoring suggests. Jesus Rodriguez is out for a couple of months, Diao and Chalobah are unavailable, and Kean is doubtful. That leaves Douvikas to lead the line. Sassuolo have had eight days to get ready. They have no win in their last seven away games, but they keep scoring on the road. They found the net in each of their last four away league games. All of that points to a controlled Como win rather than a rout, with a 2-1 the likeliest finish. The risk is Kean. If he is fit and starts, Como's ceiling rises, and they have already won by 2 or more in 6 of their last 17. A rotated Como side against a team that keeps scoring is the game we want, so we will take Sassuolo to stay in touch.