Cagliari vs Bologna — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams scores much, and together they produce even less. Their last 20 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals a game. Cagliari have made the tight win their whole identity. All nine of their wins in this run came by exactly one goal. They have not won by 2 or more in any of their last 16 games. They score a goal a game, and their own games average just over 2 goals in total. The Unipol Domus has given up a goal a game across their last nine home outings. Bologna arrive in worse shape going forward. They score less than a goal a game, and their trips have been no better. They have scored under a goal a game across their last seven away games, going 3W-0D-4L with no ties. They are also without Orsolini, Piccoli and Holm, which is the bulk of their first choice attack. Put that together and you get a slow game with few chances, decided by a single Cagliari goal. A 1-0 is the likeliest finish, and that is the kind of game we are backing. The caveat is that Cagliari were taken apart 0-4 at Monza last time out, so the floor is there. Their defence has also been giving up more good chances than their goals against suggest. We still expect a quiet night in Sardinia.