Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Tips & Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5: Dortmund are winning, but they are not winning big. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 15 games, and four of their last five produced three goals or fewer. Those five finished 2-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-2 and 1-0, which tells you how little room there is in their games. Dortmund sit second and are unbeaten in the league. They score 2 goals a game and let in 1, so they grind results out rather than blow teams away. They also have five players out, including E. Can, J. Lerma and K. Prates, and they had only four days to recover from a trip to Azerbaijan. Frankfurt have had eight days to get ready. They have been beaten by 2 or more goals only twice in their last 11 games, so they usually stay in touch. Their own goal numbers look big, but an 11-0 cup win over a fifth tier side is doing a lot of that work. The last two meetings finished 3-2 and 3-3, and seven of the last 20 ended level. A 2-1 Dortmund win is the likeliest score, and a one goal game is exactly what we want. The worry is Frankfurt's defence. They were beaten 0-6 at Leipzig and 1-4 at home by Augsburg, so a big Dortmund night is not far fetched. We are happy to back Frankfurt to keep this close.