Blackburn vs Wrexham — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Wrexham do not score when they travel, and that is the heart of this pick. They have scored less than a goal a game across nine away trips and won only 2 of them. They also arrive without Broadhead and Windass, two of their attacking options. Blackburn lost 2-3 at West Brom last time out. Even in the four unbeaten games before that, they were well outplayed. They create little, they give up plenty, and their own absentee list runs to five names. Neither side has been winning games by much. Blackburn have won by 2 or more goals only twice in their last 15 games, and they have not lost by 2 or more in any of them. Their games keep coming down to a single goal. Wrexham are much the same: 9 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals, so half of them stayed quiet. A 1-0 Blackburn win is the most likely finish, and a game like that is exactly what we want. The catch here is a big one. 12 of Blackburn's last 15 games had 3 or more goals, so this home side has been involved in plenty of them. If Blackburn get an early goal and Wrexham have to chase it, the quiet game disappears. We still expect a thin, low-chance night at Ewood Park.