Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna — Tips & Analysis

Atletico Madrid -1.5: Atletico are rolling and Deportivo arrive in bad shape. Atletico have won their last five league games and sit second on 22 points. At the Metropolitano they are 5W-1D-1L and let in less than a goal a game there, so Deportivo will get very little. Atletico have also won by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 16. Deportivo have not won in five. They are missing Aubameyang, Carrillo, Casado, Eddahchouri and Ede, which leaves them short of a finisher. They score just over a goal a game. They have had eight days off so they will be fresh, but fresh does not fix a missing striker. Expect Atletico to go ahead before half time and add a second, with a 2-0 the most likely finish. That is the score we want. The risk here is clear and we are not hiding it. The last four meetings ended 1-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 1-1, so Atletico keep winning this one by a single goal. Deportivo have not lost by 2 or more in any of their last 11 games. Atletico are on four days' rest and are without Koke, Cardoso and Romero, so changes are likely. The gap in class is still big enough for us, and we want Atletico to win this clearly.