Aston Villa vs Manchester City — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Goals follow this game around. The last 20 meetings between these two averaged just over 3 goals, and 7 in every 10 had 3 or more. City arrive top of the league on five straight wins and their games are wild right now. They score more than 2 goals a game and 12 of their last 17 had 3 or more goals. They beat Ipswich 3-2, beat Sunderland 5-3 and lost 2-4 to PSG. Haaland trained fully after limping off against Ipswich and is fit to start. Villa are not quite as good as their numbers look, because the 6-0 and 3-1 came in Europe against Fenerbahce and Viking. In the league they are twelfth on eight points. They still attack though, and 10 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. Villa are missing Onana, Ruggeri and Wan-Bissaka and have had only three days off. They have also won three of the last five against City, so they will go at them rather than sit in. Here is the honest part. The single most likely score is a 1-2 City win, and we want more from the afternoon than that. City's away games have been their quiet ones, letting in less than a goal a game on the road. If they do that again this stays low. We think Villa Park opens up and we are on the goals.