Waterford vs Drogheda United — Tips & Analysis

Waterford -0.5: Waterford have been a different team at the RSC, and that is the case for backing them. They have 7 wins, 3 ties and 1 loss in their last eleven home games there, scoring 2 goals a game and letting in 1. They come in off a 3-2 win over Galway, and across their last 20 games they have won 11 and lost only 3. Drogheda are the weaker side on the road. They have won 3, tied 2 and lost 4 of their last nine away games, scoring just over a goal a game and letting in more. They have also lost by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 18. Two attacking players, Elicha Ahui and Douglas James-Taylor, are missing, with Andrew Quinn a doubt. The table shapes this one. Both clubs sit on 37 points with two rounds left, and Drogheda hold the relegation play-off place on goal difference. A tie leaves them exactly where they are, so they have to come forward, and that suits a home side scoring 2 a game. A 2-1 Waterford win is the most likely score. The catch is the rest. Drogheda have had seven days off against Waterford's four, and games like this can tighten up instead of opening. Two of the last five meetings finished 0-0 and 0-2, so a flat night is possible. We still want Waterford to take this.