Vitória SC vs Maritimo — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams is scoring much right now, and that is the heart of this pick. Vitória have managed 6 goals in their last 10 games, which is well under a goal a game. Their matches average under 2 goals in total, and only 2 of those 10 had 3 or more goals in them. At home they have been quieter still. Their four home games produced two goals for and two against, reading 1-0, 0-0, 1-1 and 0-1. Maritimo have gone cold as well. They have created almost nothing across their last four games, and on the road they score just over a goal a game. Vitória are short of players too. Alioune Ndoye is suspended, Juan Castillo and Francisco Dias are out, and Thiago Balieiro is a doubt. History points the same way. The last twenty meetings have averaged just over 2 goals, and the last five read 2-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-1 and 0-0. A 1-0 home win is the most likely score, and a night like that is comfortable for this pick. The worry is Maritimo. Their own games have been busier. 10 of their last 14 had 3 or more goals in them, and they have scored in eight of their last nine. One early goal from them opens the whole thing up. We still expect a tight, low-scoring game.