VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Bochum games do not produce four goals, and that is the whole pick. Not one of their last 13 games has had four or more in it, and their matches average just over 2 goals in total. At home they have been quieter still. They have scored one goal across their last four home games, which read 0-1, 1-1, 0-1 and 0-1. They score a goal a game and let in about the same. Wolfsburg are the busy side. They sit 3rd on 15 points, score 2 goals a game, and their matches average more than 3 goals in total. The thing is, a wild game needs a willing opponent, and Bochum have not been one. They are 16th on 7 points and are missing Philipp Strompf, Mikkel Rakneberg and Jean-Manuel Mbom. The last eight meetings between the two have averaged under 3 goals. A 0-1 away win is the most likely score, and that is a long way short of what would beat this pick. Wolfsburg are the real warning. They have already played out two 4-4s, plus a 5-2 and a 5-1, so when they go loose they go very loose. One of those nights would sink this. Bochum have not been in a single game like that, and we are happy to side with the quieter team.