VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tips & Analysis

Under 4: A big goal count needs both teams scoring, and Gladbach are not scoring. They have managed one goal in three away league games: 1-2 at Koln, 0-5 at Freiburg and 0-3 at Leipzig. They sit bottom of the Bundesliga with no points from 6 games and five losses in a row. Their coach listed nine absentees, with Tim Kleindienst out after a fresh muscle tear. Making chances is their bigger problem right now, not just letting goals in. Stuttgart score 2 goals a game at home and let in 1. They have won by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 12, so they can win this without a wild night. Stuttgart also tied 1-1 with Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on 20 October and have had 3 days off since. Gladbach have had 5. A tired home side with a job to do rarely plays end to end. The last 19 meetings averaged 3 goals in total, which fits that picture. A 2-0 Stuttgart win is the most likely finish, and that sits well inside what we need. The risk here is real. Gladbach games have been busy, with 9 of their last 12 producing 3 or more goals, and they let in 2 a game. Freiburg put five past them. We still think Stuttgart win this in control rather than in a shootout.