Torino vs Monza — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.25: Monza are the reason to back goals here. Their games have had more than 3 goals in total on average, and 10 of their last 14 have had 3 or more. They put four past Cagliari last time out. They give plenty back as well. Monza have let in almost 2 goals a game across their last seven away games, and they won only two of them. They arrive without Pessina and Ziolkowski, so an away defence that is already soft gets no help from an unsettled lineup. Torino are in good form and should punish that. They have won three of their last five, including 3-0 at Parma and 2-1 at home to Udinese. Torino score just over a goal a game and let in about the same, and 10 of their last 16 games have had 3 or more goals. Both sides come in on four days' rest, so neither has a tired-legs excuse to sit back. A 2-1 Torino win is the most likely score, and three goals is enough to land this. The honest worry is the history between them. Only two of the last eight meetings had 3 or more goals, and Monza won 1-0 at Torino in the Coppa Italia in September. Monza were playing second tier football as recently as May, though, so the older meetings involve a very different team. We want the busier game.