PAU vs Grenoble — Tips & Analysis

Grenoble +0.75: PAU do not win games by much. They have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 12, so Grenoble's head start looks well placed. These two also have a long habit of staying level. The last 16 meetings produced 8 ties and averaged just over 2 goals in total, with only 1 in 4 of them reaching 3 goals. The recent series reads 2-2, 1-1 and 1-0. PAU come in playing well, with three league wins in a row: 2-1 at Guingamp, 3-2 at home to Laval and 2-0 against Dunkerque. Their home record is still modest, 2 wins, 1 tie and 3 losses from six at the Nouste Camp. Grenoble are the weaker side and we will not pretend otherwise. They sit 15th on 8 points, six behind PAU, and score less than a goal a game. They have still won 4 and tied 3 of their last 13, and they only need to keep this close. A 1-0 PAU win is the most likely single score, and that result stops this landing in full. We want Grenoble to come away with at least a tie. The worry is their travelling. Grenoble have lost by 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 13, including 0-4 at Saint Etienne and 2-4 at Dunkerque. If this turns into one of those nights, the head start is no help. We still think the tight pattern of this game is the better guide.