Granada CF vs Valladolid — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Valladolid away games are quiet. Their last five on the road produced 4, 2, 2, 1 and 2 goals in total, and they have not won away all season. Their last 8 road games read 3 ties and 5 losses, scoring under a goal a trip. Granada are in good form and do not need a shootout to win this. They have won three in a row, 2-0 against Cadiz, 1-0 at Burgos and 3-2 at Real Sociedad II, with clean sheets in the last two. Granada score just over a goal a game, so they control games rather than blow them apart. Valladolid also look better going forward than they really are. The 5-0 that lifts their scoring came against Albacete, bottom of the table on one point. Take that out and this is a side that barely scores on the road. Granada should keep the ball at Los Carmenes and pick the game off. A 2-0 home win is the most likely finish, and that is comfortably the right side of this bet. The honest worry is the history between them. The last 13 meetings averaged almost 3 goals in total, including a 5-1 in February. Granada's own home record is only 2 wins, 1 tie and 3 losses from six, so an early goal against them could open this up. We still expect a controlled, low-scoring home win.