Dunkerque vs Metz — Tips & Analysis

Dunkerque +0.25: The weather is the biggest thing in this game. Storm Austen is due to hit the Dunkirk coast at kick off with gusts of around 110 km/h, and football in that is scrappy and close. It drags a better away side down towards a modest home one. Dunkerque are nothing special at Stade Marcel-Tribut. Their six home games there have produced only just over a goal at each end. Their games overall have been much busier, with 6 of the last 12 having 3 or more goals, so their own ground is the quiet part. Metz have been close to silent on the road. Their last five away games read 0 wins, 3 ties and 2 losses, with under a goal a game and two 0-0s among them. They are also without Nampalys Mendy, Adam Marchal and Alassane Sy. Neither side is built to control a game in a gale. Expect long balls, set pieces and mistakes rather than clean football. A 1-1 is the most likely finish, and that is exactly the sort of result this pick wants. Dunkerque only have to avoid defeat. The worry is the history. Dunkerque have lost all four games they have played against Metz. A wind like this also brings dropped crosses and keeper errors, so a quiet game is not guaranteed. We are still with Dunkerque to hold Metz off.