Bohemians vs Shelbourne — Tips & Analysis

Shelbourne +1: Shelbourne hardly ever get beaten by much. They have lost by 2 or more goals in just 2 of their last 19 games, and that is the heart of this bet. They have also tied six of their last eleven away games and lost only three, so they are awkward visitors. Bohemians are strong at Dalymount Park, where they have won 7 of 10 and score just over 2 goals a game. They have to win here too. They sit second on 62 points, three behind Shamrock Rovers with two rounds left, so the title race is over for them if they slip. Even so, Bohemians have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 19 games. These two know each other far too well for a runaway result. The last 20 meetings produced 9 ties and averaged just over 2 goals in total, and this year's series already has a 0-0 and two 2-2s. A 2-1 Bohemians win is the most likely single score. That margin does not beat us, but we want Shelbourne to keep it to one goal or better. The risk is a home side chasing a title and throwing everything at a late second goal. Shelbourne's recent scoring is also flattered by a 5-1 win over bottom club Sligo Rovers. We still want Shelbourne and the goal in a game this tight.