Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — Tips & Analysis

Union St. Gilloise -1.25: Union are a far better team than Hapoel Beer Sheva, and that is the whole case here. Union have lost once in their last 14 games. They score more than 2 goals a game, let in less than one, and have won by 2 or more in 7 of those 14. They have not lost by 2 or more once in that run. Hapoel are solid without carrying much of a threat. They score just over a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game. They have also lost half of their eight away games, letting in almost 2 a game in them. This one is being played in Dusseldorf, not at Union's own ground, so neither side is really at home. That suits Union fine. Away from their own ground they have won 5 of seven games this season, scoring almost 3 a game. A 2-0 Union win looks the most likely score, and that gives us the margin we need. The worry is the team sheet, with eight players out, including Mac Allister and Rodriguez. Hapoel can also dig in, as they showed when they held Dinamo Zagreb to a goalless tie. If they put everyone behind the ball, the margin could stay small. Union still have far too much for them, so we are taking the clear win.