SC Braga vs Gent — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Gent squeeze the life out of games. They are unbeaten in 16, they let in well under a goal a game, and only 6 of those 16 games had 3 or more goals. That is the backbone of this pick. Their margins are tiny too. Gent have six ties and seven one goal wins in their last 16, and they have won by 2 or more only three times. Braga are in no state to blow that open. They score just over a goal a game, their games average 2 goals in total, and they have lost three of their last four. They were beaten 0-3 by Copenhagen in their first league phase game and have no points from it. Braga will have more of the ball at their own ground, and Gent will be happy to take what they are given. Braga are also on three days rest after a 1-2 defeat on Sunday. A 1-1 is the most likely finish, and that lands on the right side of this. The risk is Braga's home form. They have won five and lost two at their own ground, letting in under a goal a game. They can play better here than their recent run suggests. Gent were also held 3-3 by a lower division cup side on 18 October. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.