Plzen vs Levski Sofia — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Plzen cannot keep a game quiet. 12 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals, and their home games average almost 4 goals across eight. Plzen score almost 2 goals a game and let in almost 2, and that leaky back line is the heart of this pick. They have not taken a point in the league phase yet. Sitting back and protecting a clean sheet is not really an option for them. Levski are the sounder team at the back. They let in a goal a game on the road, and they have won six, tied three and lost one of ten away games. Their attack is the problem. Levski have scored once in three European games this season, and they are missing five players. So this needs Plzen to do the heavy lifting at both ends, which is exactly what they have been doing. A 2-1 is the most likely finish, and that clears this. The honest risk is Levski. Their games average just over 2 goals in total. They have played low scoring football in Europe so far, and if they do that again, the goals may not come. Plzen's defence has been too generous for us to expect that, so we want the busier game.