Monaco vs SC Freiburg — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Freiburg do not play quiet games. 14 of their last 16 had 3 or more goals, and their games average almost 4 goals in total. That is the main reason we want goals here. Monaco are not built to shut a game down either. They score almost 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game. 8 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. At their own ground they have won three, tied one and lost one of five, scoring 2 goals a game in those. Freiburg score more than 2 goals a game and let in more than one, so neither defence looks safe. Monaco are missing centre back Eric Dier and winger Stanis Idumbo, which does not help a back line that already leaks. Freiburg are without Florent Muslija. Neither team really controls games like this, so expect the lead to change hands and a slip at the back to decide it. A 2-2 looks the most likely finish, and that clears this comfortably. The risk is Freiburg's weekend. They play Bayern Munich on Sunday and have already left Philipp Lienhart in Germany to rest him. A heavily changed side could make this flatter than it should be. We still want the busy game.