Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad — Tips & Analysis

Lillestrom +1.25: Real Sociedad hardly ever win by a distance, and that is the strongest reason this is on. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 12 games. Lillestrom are hard to beat by a distance too. They have lost by 2 or more goals in just 4 of their last 18, and they won 8 of those 18. They score more than a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game, so their nights are usually close. Sociedad are the better side, but they are leaky. They let in almost 2 goals a game, and 8 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals in them. On the road they score 2 goals a game and let in almost 2, so they trade chances rather than squeeze games. They are also without both of their specialist full backs. Odriozola and Aramburu are out, and Beitia and Herrera are doubtful, so the flanks look weak at Åråsen. A 1-2 away win is our read of the night, and keeping this to one goal keeps us on the right side. The warning is Lillestrom's home form. It is the weaker half of their season at 3 wins, 1 tie and 4 losses, and their last four performances were worse than the results. We still want Lillestrom with a head start.