Lech Poznan vs Sunderland — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Lech Poznan games are busy ones. Their last 19 have averaged almost 4 goals in total, and 16 of those 19 had 3 or more goals. That is the clearest reason to want goals tonight. At home in Poznan they score more than 2 goals a game, with recent wins of 6-1 over Korona Kielce and 5-1 over Radomiak. Lech have won 8 of their 11 home games this season. They are bottom of the league phase with no points, so they have to come out and chase this. Sunderland help the case at the back. They let in almost 2 goals a game across nine away games. They are also missing six players, with Mundle out and Isidor, Ballard and Meunier all doubtful. A thin, changed back line at a loud ground is how goals arrive. Lech are short too, without Gholizadeh, Sayyadmanesh, Douglas and Moutinho. A 2-1 home win looks the likely finish, and that is enough for us. The catch is where Lech's goals have come from. Those big wins came in the Polish league, and in the league phase they have not scored in either game so far. Sunderland's own games are quiet, with just 6 of their last 17 having 3 or more goals, and they score just over a goal a game. We still want the busier game here.