Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann — Tips & Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris +0.75: Brann are the better side, but they do not win by much. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 19 games, and they lost 6 of those 19. That is the case for Kauno Žalgiris staying with them. Brann run hot and cold. They beat Bodo/Glimt 2-1, then lost 0-2 at home to Viking and 1-3 at Valerenga. Their only win in the league phase was a 2-1 at home to Lincoln Red Imps. They score almost 2 goals a game and let in well over one, so this is no steamroller. Kauno Žalgiris are hard work at their own ground. They have won 6 of their last 8 there, scoring more than 2 goals a game and letting in under one. They have won 11 of their last 19 overall. Add a heavy pitch in late October and a home crowd, and a 1-1 looks the likely finish. That is the result we want. Be careful here though. Most of those home numbers come from the Lithuanian league, but they did beat Besiktas 1-0 at their own ground in the Europa League playoff. Their one night in the league phase was a 0-4 loss at Brighton where they created next to nothing. If Brann's away form turns up, they win this by two. We still think the hosts stay in it.