Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht — Tips & Analysis

Jagiellonia +0.25: Anderlecht come to Bialystok with their defence in pieces, and that is where this pick starts. Sardella, Biancone, Camara and Hey are all out, so four defenders are missing. Their confidence is thin too. They lost 1-2 to second tier Beerschot in the cup four days ago. Dinamo Zagreb beat them 1-0 in the last round, and they sit 29th with no points. Anderlecht also travel very narrowly. Their nine away games average 1 goal scored and 1 let in, and they have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 17. This is not a side that runs over hosts. Jagiellonia have enough at home to trade with them. They score more than a goal a game, and 11 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals in them. There is very little between these two on the night. Both have had four days off, and both are short of bodies. A 1-1 looks the likeliest score, and a tie keeps us on the right side. The honest warning is Jagiellonia's form. They have lost four of their last five, and they are missing six of their own squad, including Polak, Prelec and Zalewski. Anderlecht are the better team on paper, with 10 wins in their last 17 and under a goal let in per game. We still take the hosts with a head start.