Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — Tips & Analysis

Torreense +1.75: The best reason to back Torreense here is that Ferencvaros rarely win big. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 19 games. Seven of those 19 finished level. Ferencvaros are clearly the better team and they have not lost at home this season, winning four and tying four there. They score 2 goals a game and let in under one, so they will control the ball for long spells in Budapest. They are also short handed, with seven players out, including Bero and his broken leg. Torreense are a second tier Portuguese club and they are no better than they look. They score just over a goal a game on the road and have won 6 of their last 16 games. What helps them is a habit of losing small. Torreense have lost by 2 or more goals in just 2 of their last 16. They also arrive with 7 days of rest, and Ferencvaros have had only 4. The honest read is a 2-0 home win, and that is not enough for us. We need the hosts to win small, a 1-0 or a 2-1, and their run of tight games says that is well within range. The danger is plain. Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4-0 at home in this competition, so they can take a weaker side apart. We still fancy Torreense to keep this close.