Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tips & Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25: Egnatia hardly ever get beaten by a distance, and that is the heart of this pick. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 19 games. They have also won 11 of those 19, they score more than 2 goals a game, and they let in just over a goal a game. Aarhus are the ones in trouble. They have won only 4 of their last 19 and tied 6 of them, and they have created almost nothing in their last four games. They let in almost 2 goals a game, so the visitors should get on the scoresheet. There is another helping hand. This game is at Cepheus Park in Randers, not Aarhus's usual ground, so the home comforts are thinner than normal. Egnatia have already shown they can live at this level. They held Midtjylland to a 1-1 tie on 15 October, then beat Vllaznia 3-1 at the weekend. Both sides have had four days off. A 1-1 looks the most likely score here, and a tie is good enough for us. The honest worry is that Egnatia's big numbers come mostly against Albanian league teams, so a jump in class could expose them. There is also no team news for either side, so nobody knows who is fit. We are happy to take the visitors with a head start.