Worcester City vs Chorley — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Worcester City's problem is a simple one. They do not score. They get less than a goal a game, and they have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 17 games. Their games stay quiet as well. Eleven of those 17 finished with 2 goals or fewer, and not one of the 17 had as many as 5 goals in it. Chorley are the better team here. They play a division above Worcester City and they won four games in a row before the 1-1 between these two. Chorley do not need many goals to get through, though. They score under 2 goals a game, and that first tie at Victory Park produced only two goals in total. The replay brings the same two defences back together, with the same three days of rest each. A 1-0 Chorley win is the most likely score. One goal from the side a division higher, against a team that barely scores, is how these ties usually go. The risk is Chorley's own form. Their games average just over 3 goals, and they have had a 5-2 and a 4-1 in the last six weeks. We are happy with the low-scoring read, because Worcester City have given us no reason all season to expect anything else.