Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — Tips & Analysis

Barcelona +0.25: Barcelona come to Paris as the better team, and they have been winning without fuss. They have won 12 of their last 14 games, and 12 of those 14 were wins by 2 goals or more. Their attack is the main reason. Barcelona score almost 4 goals a game, and more than 3 a game on the road. They have scored at least three in each of their last five away games, including a 5-2 at Betis and a 4-1 at Galatasaray. Paris Saint Germain are flying as well, with five wins in a row. They do not keep games tight though. They let in more than a goal a game at their own ground, and they let in two at the Etihad last week in a 4-2 win. Paris have won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 18 games. Both sides are missing defenders rather than forwards. Barcelona are without Jules Kounde, Eric Garcia and Andreas Christensen, and Paris lose Nuno Mendes for several weeks. The 13 previous meetings averaged 4 goals, so this should be open. A 3-2 win for Barcelona is the most likely score, decided late rather than early. The risk is real. Paris have won their last five games, and Barcelona's scoring numbers are lifted by a 7-2 win over weaker opposition. We still want Barcelona, because Paris keep letting teams score and this Barcelona side rarely wastes that.