Forest Green vs Chesham United — Tips & Analysis

Chesham United +1.5: Forest Green do not win games by big margins, and that is the whole case for Chesham United. Forest Green have won by 2 or more goals only once in their last 13 games. Their home record is the bigger problem. They have won 2, tied 1 and lost 4 at The New Lawn, and they let in more than 2 goals a game there. Their last five results read DLDDL. Chesham United come from the division below, but they score almost 2 goals a game and they already held Forest Green for 90 minutes. Ben Goode made a string of good stops in that 0-0 as Forest Green pressed after the break. Both sides had three days to recover, so a flat, stretched replay looks likely, and that helps the weaker team stay in it. A 2-1 Forest Green win is the most likely score, and this bet lives with that. Chesham only need to keep it close, not win it. The danger is their travelling. Chesham have lost five of their eight away games, and they let in more than 2 goals a game on the road. They have also been beaten by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 18. If Forest Green finally turn their extra level into a big win, this is gone early. We still want Chesham, because Forest Green have not been beating anyone by that much.