Udinese vs Lecce — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams can score, and that is the simple case here. Udinese score a goal a game at home and Lecce score less than a goal a game on the road. Put those two together and goals are hard to come by. Udinese have lost four league games in a row and sit 15th with four points from six. Even so, they have the better defensive record in this match, letting in less than a goal a game at home. They are also without Zaniolo, Bayo, Gueye and Abankwah, so their attack is nowhere near full strength. Lecce are no better off. They have six points from six and let in more than a goal a game. They also lost 0-3 at Milan and 0-4 at home to Roma in their recent run. Ilic is out and Stulic is a doubt, which thins them further. The history fits too. Only a third of the last 15 meetings had 3 or more goals, and those games have averaged just over 2 goals in total. A grinding 1-0 to Udinese looks the most likely afternoon, decided by one scrappy goal. The one worry is Udinese's defending. They have been opened up badly across their last four games, giving up far more chances than usual. We still want the quiet game.