Lyon vs Nice — Tips & Analysis

Lyon -0.5: Nice are a different team on the road, and that is the heart of this pick. They have won one of their last eight away games and score less than a goal a game away from home. At home they score more than a goal a game, so the drop off is real. They also travel without Abergel, Bombito and Mendy. Lyon have been strong in their own stadium. They have scored just over 2 goals a game across seven home games and won four of them. A 4-0 against Rennes and a 3-2 against Crystal Palace are in there. They won the last meeting between these two 2-0. Lyon have also won 11 of the last 20 games against Nice. This should be a patient Lyon night. They build one goal by keeping the ball, then add a second once the visiting defence tires. A 2-0 is the most likely score, and that is clear of what we need. The honest worry is Nice's habit of tying games. They have tied 7 of their last 15, and a 1-1 would sink this. Lyon also lost Openda to a broken leg and played in Europe three days ago, so their team is hard to call. We still think Lyon have too much here.