Lorient vs Monaco — Tips & Analysis

Lorient +0.5: Monaco have won by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 13 games, and that is why we are with Lorient. Monaco are the better team and sit third in the table, but they win games narrowly. Their league trips this autumn finished 1-0, 2-1 and 1-1. They also play on three days' rest after Thursday's 2-1 win away at CSKA Sofia, and Lorient have had eight days off. Monaco are without the suspended Brunner, and Dier is a doubt with a muscle problem. Lorient keep games tight. They score just over a goal a game, they let in just over a goal a game, and their games average under 3 goals in total. Their last three home outings finished 1-0, 2-2 and 1-2. Lorient have also won the last two meetings between these teams 3-1 and 3-1, so they know how to hurt Monaco. A 1-1 looks the most likely score, and that result suits us. The danger is clear enough. Monaco have won 8 of their last 13 and score just over 2 goals a game, so they can take this comfortably if they come out fresh. Lorient have problems of their own, with four players unavailable. We still want Lorient here, and we think they take something from the night.