Leeds vs Manchester United — Tips & Analysis

Leeds +0: Leeds have been tough to beat at home, and that is the base of this pick. They have not lost any of their last five at Elland Road, letting in under a goal a game. They score almost 2 goals a game there as well. They have also had eight days to get ready for this. United arrive five days after losing 0-2 at Atletico Madrid. They score a goal a game on the road and have won one of their last six away games. They are creating very little at the moment, and the team news is thin. Sesko and Ugarte are out along with Dorgu and Heaton. Mainoo, Shaw and Mazraoui all need late checks. Recent meetings point the same way, with three of the last five ending level. So a 1-1 looks the single most likely result. That is not a full win for us, so we want Leeds to push on and take the game. A home crowd and a week of rest make that a fair ask. The risk is the longer history. Leeds have won one of their last 12 meetings with United, tying five and losing six. Their home run is only five games old too. The 3-6 loss at Chelsea in the League Cup showed the defence can come apart. We are still backing Leeds to avoid defeat here.