Le Havre vs Auxerre — Tips & Analysis

Auxerre +0.25: Le Havre have won just 1 of their last 12 games, and that is the heart of this pick. They are bottom of Ligue 1 with 2 points from their 6 league games, and they have tied 6 of those 12. Their home games this autumn have brought almost nothing. They tied 0-0 with Angers, lost 1-2 to Brest and lost 0-1 to Monaco, so one goal in three. Le Havre score just over a goal a game and let in just over a goal a game. The team news makes it harder again. Seven players are out, including defenders Toure and Pembele, and Seko is suspended. Auxerre are no great side either, but they have won 5 of their last 12 and score more than a goal a game. Games between these two are usually tight. The last four read 1-1, 1-0, 2-1 and 3-1, and the last 20 meetings averaged under 3 goals in total. A 1-1 looks the most likely finish here, and a tie is exactly what we want. The clear worry is Auxerre away from home. They have lost all three league trips and let in 12 goals in them, so a Le Havre win is a real danger. Even so, this Le Havre team barely win at all, and we side with Auxerre to come away with something.